Tuesday, January 17, 2017

China adds 34GW of solar PV in 2016

China solar additions in 2016 reported at 34 Gigawatts.  That is a huge number.

Meanwhile, Japan's 2016 solar additions are ... well, I do not know since the METI site which tracks FIT projects (the vast bulk of the total) only shows additions through September. Maybe BNEF or RTS has

Over the first 3 quarters, Japan added approximately 600MW of residential solar capacity), and 4.95GW of commercial and industrial solar (in each case measured by AC not DC module capacity. So a nine month total of 5.55GW.

In the months leading up to September 30, monthly completions were running at around 75MW residential and 425MW commercial/industrial, so by year end Japan may have added an additional 1.5GW, putting the total around 7.05GW (AC) --maybe between 8GW and 9GW DC.)

That number would be MUCH lower than the BNEF Japan forecast at the beginning of the year of 13.2-14.3GW. And only about 25% of China.  Japan has likely ceded the #2 solar market position to the US and perhaps also has slipped behind India.  And Japan will fall further in 2017, and in 2018.


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